Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82c4a62435e6cb8a36d2d8092f6ecef8d65732c968ee6973a48d2e1d9f0ad885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $424,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $472,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 49c | 41,055$20,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,938.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 32,025$15,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,807.37 | 480 | 30.6%147 W · 333 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 48c | 26,042$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,541.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…308abacked Over | 45c | 25,569$11,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,159.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 41c | 24,110$9,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,790.18 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 47c | 21,403$10,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,030.06 | 310 | 45.2%140 W · 170 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…df79backed Over | 44c | 19,987$8,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,292.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 13,628$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,675.6 | 514 | 42.2%217 W · 297 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Under | 56c | 11,250$6,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,284.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 9,803$5,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,372.78 | 671 | 45.6%306 W · 365 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 7c | 9,334$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.54 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 7,980$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,052.63 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 6,145$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.53 | 731 | 51.7%378 W · 353 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 4c | 6,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2627…fa13backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 54c | 5,973$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Under | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 17c | 5,555$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.61 | 352 | 37.2%131 W · 221 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…da72backed Under | 33c | 4,959$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 4,876$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.8 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…39dbbacked Under | 32c | 4,758$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Under | 53c | 4,528$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 43c | 4,515$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.55 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 63c | 4,420$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 4,141$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.53 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Under | 21c | 3,062$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.57 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24e…1be8backed Over | 42c | 3,000$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 67c | 2,948$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Under | 51c | 2,861$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab6…fad4backed Under | 54c | 2,560$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 2c | 2,398$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 57c | 2,262$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.07 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 33c | 2,188$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 7c | 2,148$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 54c | 2,075$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 56c | 2,048$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Under | 52c | 1,937$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 57c | 1,858$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.78 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 58c | 1,711$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…c8e9backed Over | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 4c | 1,625$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 18c | 1,439$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.02 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 1,287$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.94 | 860 | 32.7%281 W · 579 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 9c | 1,262$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…3dddbacked Under | 70c | 1,134$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Under | 53c | 1,115$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…a7debacked Under | 54c | 1,100$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Under | 20c | 1,021$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under | 23c | 1,013$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 393 | 46.3%182 W · 211 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf67…ee8ebacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 53c | 943$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 391 | 48.1%188 W · 203 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 55c | 939.77$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.88 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -90%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under | 12c | 927.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under | 22c | 871.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 64c | 847.67$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.68 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 72c | 757.16$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.65 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 47c | 743.39$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.7 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Over | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 51c | 699.98$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.99 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 43c | 671.34$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 26c | 612.4$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 5c | 542.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Under | 52c | 520$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 43c | 513.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd63d…75a1backed Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…180dbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 148 | 62.2%92 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 58c | 492.98$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.38 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Over | 28c | 481.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Over | 50c | 464$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 58c | 442.66$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.30per pick | 49cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…2e23backed Under | 16c | 413.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 71c | 408.45$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.45 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…2b4dbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Over | 68c | 405.21$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Under | 58c | 397.86$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Under | 54c | 369$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed Under | 4c | 366.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 39c | 355.24$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.22 | 450 | 55.3%249 W · 201 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 42c | 336.26$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.03 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +180%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…9461backed Over | 60c | 329.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 61c | 321.2$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.93 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…bc50backed Under | 52c | 320.75$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 33c | 318$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.27 | 488 | 58.8%287 W · 201 L | +45.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17c0…87dfbacked Under | 55c | 293.33$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…20acbacked Under | 60c | 285$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…f399backed Over | 46c | 277$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 56c | 261$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 79c | 252.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 44c | 243.83$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…acbbbacked Under | 42c | 238.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9306…bc66backed Under | 62c | 226.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: FC Bayern München O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 5.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.