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Serie A · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-08-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$450,488
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$436,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,488 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34dd…fd83backed No62c215,877$133,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,313.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+149.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86da…6428backed Yes38c203,470$77,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,318.531040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked No70c25,565$17,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,737.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No70c22,914$16,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,889.4811451.8%59 W · 55 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes41c16,710$6,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,851.042433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e9f…0eaebacked Yes38c13,300$5,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,061.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes29c13,136$3,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.3138039.7%151 W · 229 L+1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,800366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes39c9,556$3,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,768.1472050.1%361 W · 359 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes30c8,454$2,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,576.62931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes41c7,205$2,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,954.1840847.1%192 W · 216 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes0c6,978$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes10c6,352$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.9536827.4%101 W · 267 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes15c6,300$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.712,02339.4%798 W · 1,225 L-10.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No60c5,170$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.5811636.2%42 W · 74 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes39c5,000$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.993966.7%26 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed Yes40c4,548$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes39c4,487$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.927634.2%26 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes26c3,795$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.621435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes30c3,520$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05010650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c3,399$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.442,57945.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L+12.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes29c3,250$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.7255038.9%214 W · 336 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed No62c3,233$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes6c3,195$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3551349.3%253 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes38c3,160$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.76855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes18c3,080$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes39c2,976$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.4999944.7%447 W · 552 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d76…1298backed No63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.073100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.3850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes23c1,524$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.5224846.4%115 W · 133 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.992035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes40c1,420$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.544654.7%244 W · 202 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes30c1,300$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3905339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes42c1,278$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.5723839.1%93 W · 145 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No74c1,223$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.282572%18 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+65.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No60c1,167$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.675349.1%26 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes29c1,042$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29750%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39019849.5%98 W · 100 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes41c999.96$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.988624.4%21 W · 65 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No58c982.76$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.761361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes42c952.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc38…d22bbacked Yes38c890.22$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No59c890$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.99852%51 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes38c865.1$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.747250%36 W · 36 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Yes39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd010…2ee6backed Yes39c725.11$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe109…8ec3backed Yes42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Yes42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No75c666$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8324246.3%112 W · 130 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes23c632.71$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5427241.2%112 W · 160 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes42c599.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No74c559.93$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.463250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x580e…88c8backed Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No58c534.17$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.354967.3%33 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes7c516.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.141323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes39c496.61$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9441253.2%219 W · 193 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No59c494$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.143231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b03…b127backed Yes15c486.16$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes10c470.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3613228.8%38 W · 94 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bc2…f31ebacked Yes42c463.5$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed Yes22c444.78$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes39c441.73$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3134852.9%184 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes38c430.4$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.559759.8%58 W · 39 L+13.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4430…2cf8backed Yes42c415.62$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed No62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529255.4%51 W · 41 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+17.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No78c398.63$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8732939.5%130 W · 199 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No57c350$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.034443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed No66c348.25$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed No67c346.26$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.271546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No59c341.88$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.172334.8%8 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes27c340$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.11942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No69c339.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.41060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+68.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No60c335$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.046936.2%25 W · 44 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes8c319$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.529246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Yes42c316.33$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked No62c305.81$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.216100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-77%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.697768.8%53 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes7c275$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed No57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.161266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes30c241.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.532065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes9c238.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Yes32c232.16$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbc6…0018backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc3…1bb7backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No74c226.22$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.921546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes17c225.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.383135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes11c217.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.516136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked No59c214.39$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.92867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed No72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.334259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Yes14c207.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303850%19 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No61c201.21$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.329758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes40c200$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.