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Serie A · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,013 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b47…d814backed No71c40,628$28,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,862.1911251.8%58 W · 54 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes32c30,702$9,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,688.7334328.3%97 W · 246 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes35c26,333$9,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,245.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c25,611$7,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,287.622,57545.6%1,174 W · 1,401 L+12.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No69c16,775$11,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,200.253129%9 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed No75c12,600$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c7,012$5,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.932,01339.4%794 W · 1,219 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No65c4,843$3,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.537039.2%145 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No70c3,523$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0653372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb38a…3293backed Yes9c3,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeee…43a6backed No70c2,806$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No76c1,998$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.546368.3%43 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No69c1,687$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.4643854.8%240 W · 198 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes31c1,434$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4405137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-71.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No69c1,232$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.884634.8%16 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes25c1,143$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6453438.8%207 W · 327 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No63c1,100$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.0732539.4%128 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3108123.5%19 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004173.2%30 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No69c829.12$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.036858.8%40 W · 28 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No74c740.37$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.841050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes40c736.73$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.691010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-39.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes25c619.69$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8113946%64 W · 75 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes30c606.25$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes10c562.84$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.561942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No64c515.93$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.229046.7%42 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7249…f5dabacked Yes30c491.76$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes15c468.72$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3424045.8%110 W · 130 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182f…de4fbacked No69c368.55$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.253100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes30c342.27$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10413228.8%38 W · 94 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes31c340.9$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8522839.5%90 W · 138 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes21c339.4$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.597255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes17c333.87$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.61323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbc6…0018backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Yes31c286.21$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes11c285.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.333135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes33c270$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.916636.4%24 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes29c268.3$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8123051.7%119 W · 111 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No75c268$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes19c257.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013030.8%40 W · 90 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x405e…9c34backed Yes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes30c247.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.39758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No66c245.08$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2723743.5%103 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c4…c777backed Yes30c236.67$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes30c223.87$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.163231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes20c211.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.042147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No72c205.1$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.892846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+49.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes24c172.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.42560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a85…3699backed Yes30c166.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ff…18acbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No71c159.45$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.43580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No63c156.06$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.51060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes32c156$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.923231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd7c9…1ec6backed No71c152.38$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.383100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No69c149.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes31c145.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed No69c143.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes33c141.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.07728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes31c121.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.13836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c120.64$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2543355%238 W · 195 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Yes29c117.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.043063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3820…ffc3backed Yes31c115$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes27c112$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.247948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes23c108.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.524555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x457e…c5b1backed No71c108.38$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.68580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188853.4%47 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.025455.6%30 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7be6…5ab8backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb371…472abacked Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes28c94.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.751546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No67c93.03$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.164763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8726…5ae1backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes17c86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6247442.8%203 W · 271 L-1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes29c84.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3811860.2%71 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cab…db1dbacked Yes34c82.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes19c80.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.212133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.82250%11 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes32c77.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0817…de6fbacked Yes26c74.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes18c73.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.918924.9%47 W · 142 L-20.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed No67c73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.093534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes30c71.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4119749.7%98 W · 99 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes20c67.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.753342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No64c62.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5221250%106 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed No68c61.55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.45850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes31c58.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2710335.9%37 W · 66 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes23c56.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d9…bc47backed Yes29c51.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes30c51.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.436046.4%167 W · 193 L-1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes30c51.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3228951.6%149 W · 140 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes30c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes23c50.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5251049.6%253 W · 257 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Yes30c46.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142825%7 W · 21 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.