TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$499,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$572,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x293b…3b9ebacked No72c105,000$75,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,599.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes33c88,765$29,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,394.1734328.3%97 W · 246 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd273…17eabacked No1c37,532$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.32837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-41.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c35,059$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,358.242,57545.6%1,174 W · 1,401 L+12.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No37c34,412$12,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,883.7511251.8%58 W · 54 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadea…b96dbacked No72c30,000$21,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,599.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34dd…fd83backed Yes30c17,888$5,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,573.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+149.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes28c16,710$4,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,031.22433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c10,871$7,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,790.7643854.8%240 W · 198 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c10,243$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.822,01339.4%794 W · 1,219 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed Yes40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes30c10,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.9911453.5%61 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes38c9,552$3,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,962.1837039.2%145 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3672…0a5fbacked No71c6,800$4,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,827.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No34c6,128$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No71c5,358$3,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,822.656858.8%40 W · 28 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes28c5,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6002035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes29c4,859$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,469.883745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No70c4,416$3,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,091.981145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes35c4,378$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,844.4427041.1%111 W · 159 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No67c4,000$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.991233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+107.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No63c3,778$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.68161.7%50 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No70c3,341$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.23764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked No69c3,100$2,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,138.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No39c2,952$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes28c2,857$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.145149%25 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Yes28c2,748$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.56785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+85.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed No60c2,703$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c2,277$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.8199444.7%444 W · 550 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes28c2,277$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.83953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes67c2,270$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x239e…cb80backed No72c2,144$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c1,953$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.2271150.1%356 W · 355 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No55c1,831$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.241643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes33c1,466$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.24944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked No61c1,461$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c1,376$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.1334552.8%182 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes66c1,307$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.032846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes39c1,273$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.947948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes39c1,223$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.032572%18 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+65.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c51…1fc1backed Yes56c1,194$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce0…97afbacked Yes34c1,176$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+121.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.111154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No65c1,092$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7103253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No56c1,066$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes29c1,031$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.23231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72040853.2%217 W · 191 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71013919.4%27 W · 112 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d5…732ebacked Yes35c999.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+119.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No72c999.97$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.988123.5%19 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes69c997.23$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.04887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+53%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes43c849$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.166636.4%24 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8ba…da22backed No70c812.63$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No72c756.63$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.7722839.5%90 W · 138 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No34c746.72$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5224045.8%110 W · 130 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No13c685.85$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.957255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No6c659$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed No53c654.8$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No18c630.49$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.499046.7%42 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No72c597.26$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.3228951.6%149 W · 140 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f11…4529backed Yes67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.01825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed No60c582.36$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed No5c523$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.74425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed Yes69c507.25$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x487e…0d66backed Yes30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Yes68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes67c498.19$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No65c489.65$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.0653438.8%207 W · 327 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes71c468.99$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.181963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes26c452.1$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.555100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+128.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Yes69c435.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a4…205ebacked No70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2841283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+49.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes30c396.78$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.729758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No73c395.56$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7610335.9%37 W · 66 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes29c393.2$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.943836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Yes28c392.86$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.862650%13 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+48.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed No64c378.06$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.081250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Yes33c363.64$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No31c360$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.14616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No7c351.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.684555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Yes28c350.36$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.26540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No70c345.64$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4116352.1%85 W · 78 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No12c344.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.161030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-49.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033d…9831backed Yes28c335.11$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No74c321.57$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.96850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No13c321.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.431942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes31c311.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.17540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0341240.8%168 W · 244 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed No73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7249…f5dabacked Yes35c298$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb283…4501backed No4c287$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No71c284.86$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.251250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0817…de6fbacked Yes36c282.46$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No72c277.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6140746.9%191 W · 216 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No72c276.38$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes74c270$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked No6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes45c231.77$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.772254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.