Asian League · resolved market
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86093ea08df84352dce77d22732aa199220c7bb83a56155ea1d3ad88ffc5a0a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 3,380$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.86 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,629$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.43 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed No | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 4cpaid | +688.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 13c | 998$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 992.17$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.48 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 816.01$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.21 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed No | 5c | 733.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 558.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 32c | 471$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.28 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 68c | 456$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.08 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked No | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 292.23$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.64 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 269.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 30c | 255.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.97 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 30c | 206.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 73c | 183.88$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 79c | 170$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 161.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 8c | 145$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 184 | 42.4%78 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 31c | 135$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Yes | 32c | 119.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 113.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 27c | 99.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 89.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 15c | 88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 70c | 83.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 16c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 74.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 32c | 58.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…5b41backed Yes | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 22.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 71c | 22.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?No won
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.