TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$377,689
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$379,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,689 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes47c153,934$72,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,326.262070%14 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed No55c39,525$21,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,927.031435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes45c31,610$14,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,270.2235550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No52c30,450$15,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,834714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-73%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c23,692$12,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,977.381,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c21,000$11,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,129.9926345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes45c20,545$9,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,301.0433346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes44c15,938$7,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,925.2322841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No50c14,182$7,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,134.9399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No39c13,263$5,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.4498945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No57c12,306$6,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,953.8912654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes46c11,234$5,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,095.1232848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c9,098$4,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,896.2497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No52c8,340$4,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,359.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c8,305$4,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,403.953,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Yes45c8,000$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,440540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed No54c7,557$4,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,080.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No32c7,500$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40010945%49 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No53c7,476$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,997.9120043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No55c5,800$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,21210358.3%60 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No45c5,678$2,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,572.181,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes43c4,936$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800.381,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No54c3,914$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.3621547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No54c3,818$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.576250%31 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No54c3,578$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.675154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No55c3,010$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.6270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No55c3,000$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes46c3,000$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6351136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.9917740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No53c2,617$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.312951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No27c2,616$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70012751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32511854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.2439435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No54c2,179$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.3135149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No53c2,021$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.284245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1203141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14017258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1204334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No57c1,568$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.769457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c1,482$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.5137649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes68c1,363$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.0168150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No55c1,268$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.69345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No49c1,163$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.81,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes46c1,022$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.883540%14 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5303234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32014062.1%87 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No53c991.36$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.7813948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No35c955.73$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.216437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae30…107bbacked No56c932.16$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.19425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes49c910.65$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.44845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes42c805.95$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.452040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes68c788$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.711,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes75c720.34$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0736646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes44c694$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.642955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No55c680$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.5255750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No55c680$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.5268550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No55c680$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.5291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes45c621.94$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.074755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Yes48c500.77$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.43751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed No55c498.4$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.121844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes43c475$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.756546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc730…236dbacked No55c467.98$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.391145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes43c459.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.955558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No54c432.09$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3310450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad2…9401backed Yes71c427$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.072065%13 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick74cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22814359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No55c398.97$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.432250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No54c383.41$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0512850%64 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No56c363.64$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.642147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No20c357.73$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No56c329$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.249944.4%44 W · 55 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No35c319.08$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4671443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No31c293.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.422042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c293$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0153046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes45c278$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.91338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No13c266.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2417244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No34c235.68$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5854949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes46c231.37$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6773438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No23c226$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5713228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Yes47c204.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.161782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+43.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11415060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11414459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10613158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11216960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11414257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f7…4f7cbacked No20c198.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.771118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed No54c197.26$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.526558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No15c185.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.235446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No55c180.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1726450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed No15c175$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea53…e1ebbacked Yes46c174.18$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.171369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x381c…c62dbacked No55c172$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.61040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No25c169.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.11844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No57c156$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.929058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes65c155$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.765552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.