Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddb64a60328748811152394e7d5f812477acee7bd7add14082969d4b08be7358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 8,047$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.35 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 2,200$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 1c | 1,378$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 29c | 1,223$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 1c | 1,165$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 71c | 495.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 40c | 487.78$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.9 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 16c | 399.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d93…369fbacked Yes | 28c | 332.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 321$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 16c | 316.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 256.59$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…f43dbacked Yes | 16c | 243.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 70c | 240$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 23c | 210.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 15c | 197.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 64c | 155.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 145.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 26c | 135$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 29c | 123.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 34c | 105.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…7551backed Yes | 28c | 98.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 67c | 97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 64c | 94.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 20c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 59c | 85.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed Yes | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 61.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 73c | 50.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 59c | 49.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 74c | 37.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 32c | 32.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 31.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 65c | 28.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 23.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-14?this page
- Will Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?No won
- Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.