TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,312 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes48c24,317$11,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,715.912,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No20c15,586$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,056.292,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed No56c13,968$7,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,792.357950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes77c10,963$8,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.568,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes46c6,087$2,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,308.255,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes45c4,328$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.61,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No54c3,308$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.661,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No54c3,292$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.291,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes66c3,167$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.7211039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No53c3,153$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.1212755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes45c2,497$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.81,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes44c2,464$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.391,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No54c1,682$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.651749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes48c1,568$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.634747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No53c1,568$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.0422457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No32c1,154$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.9657540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked No52c1,109$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.6849136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes45c1,029$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.735154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Yes46c999.96$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.983652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes67c891.37$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.538746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No54c863$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.0242962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes48c855.1$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.651,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes44c681.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8127549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7801…96dbbacked Yes49c619.78$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21cf…79cebacked No52c601.18$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31824053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes44c568.17$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1827349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2656550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No53c471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6331039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes49c466.45$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8966837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No53c461.57$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.184847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No40c446.22$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.881,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No44c438.4$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4782434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21219559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No51c360.02$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6110146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No38c346.09$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9721938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes46c329.08$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.951,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Yes46c321.98$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.871915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-70%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c255.33$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.333,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No54c246$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8445253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked No24c223$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.533638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No51c221.76$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.151750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed No53c219$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.072751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes44c209.56$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.985855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes45c200.02$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0118247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10624956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed No54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1066056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10623056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes44c196.18$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.867748.1%37 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Yes44c195.8$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.653938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No29c181$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5289846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No42c180.87$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.085446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No53c159.14$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3410158.4%59 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No53c156$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6815359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No55c137.01$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9418050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No53c135.48$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1725955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes49c132.16$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.47843.6%34 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed No52c120$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.82948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes74c115.64$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8595155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No25c110$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes50c106.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.519543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes75c105.58$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4260156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes65c101.07$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3141262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5623551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.213452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed No45c96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.675532.7%18 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked No54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked No54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed No54c92.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes69c91.26$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9163061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.823044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xade5…56b1backed No54c67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.181250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3820…ffc3backed No52c66.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.451936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes57c65.91$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4416449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No53c57.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.232,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d5…573bbacked No55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Yes44c54.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.433262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes45c52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.61,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes45c52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.62,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed No55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92db…68d2backed Yes51c49.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2167…5dedbacked No52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes60c46.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.674259.5%25 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No53c44.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.427855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked Yes46c43.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.533050%15 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No52c41.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6250656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817c…48d3backed Yes47c40.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed No52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.85952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.224257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No53c36.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1716751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8529653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes67c34.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3133365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.335944.1%26 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No54c31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7472058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No60c26.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165466.7%36 W · 18 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes73c25.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.