South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2afb6bb007692670d002c490417505911317633dbd354c692b0950cfea1302c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked No | 48c | 131,241$63,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,726.29 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 30,578$15,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,682.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 51c | 15,000$7,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,675 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 50c | 13,691$6,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,813.91 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 52c | 13,462$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 46c | 9,979$4,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557.24 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 54c | 9,247$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 52c | 8,139$4,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,194.92 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 4,023$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.15 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 54c | 3,298$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.83 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 52c | 2,763$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 22c | 2,724$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.13 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 25c | 2,499$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.09 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 46c | 2,445$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.3 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,436$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.07 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 29c | 2,353$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.36 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 54c | 2,300$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 47c | 1,804$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.59 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,720$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.21 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 50c | 1,703$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.55 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Yes | 33c | 1,493$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 1,285$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.5 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a54…1962backed No | 47c | 1,184$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1510…fe91backed Yes | 53c | 1,154$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.74 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…b828backed Yes | 22c | 1,130$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 70c | 1,083$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.45 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 53c | 1,017$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.41 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed No | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 955.93$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.95 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed No | 48c | 950$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 50c | 940$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 921.47$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.77 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 51c | 907.67$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.96 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Yes | 8c | 899.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Yes | 35c | 886.97$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.44 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes | 32c | 857.21$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 856.48$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.45 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 29c | 831.51$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.74 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…af4abacked Yes | 51c | 815.5$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 26c | 786.81$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a3…9c26backed Yes | 52c | 748.73$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2406…3a12backed Yes | 54c | 738.85$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 34c | 708.61$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.91 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 75c | 705.26$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.81 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Yes | 4c | 704.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Yes | 52c | 677$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.42 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Yes | 22c | 620.32$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 615.77$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 42c | 571.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 53c | 566.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 53c | 534.59$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.33 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 533.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 52c | 525.32$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.39 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9940…59b3backed No | 78c | 482.04$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 50c | 474.25$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.13 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…60b7backed Yes | 54c | 469.68$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 30c | 443.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 66c | 441.14$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.34 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed No | 77c | 435.08$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 46c | 429.52$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.94 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 51c | 389$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 362.07$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.29 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed No | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 297$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.38 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…2d5bbacked Yes | 53c | 284.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 22c | 271.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 52c | 248.15$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 71c | 233$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 52c | 231.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 51c | 215.1$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 16c | 212.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 55c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 51c | 194.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 32c | 193.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 175.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 75c | 170.94$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 51c | 169.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 168.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 67c | 161.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 54c | 161.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Yes | 50c | 160.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 19c | 160.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 49c | 152.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 74c | 149.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 133$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Yes | 53c | 127.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 53c | 125.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 76c | 123$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 74c | 121.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866e…a949backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked Yes | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed No | 59c | 119.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 18c | 119.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11?this page
- Will Club Bolívar vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.