TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,268

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,857 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes24c8,608$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.222,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes52c2,628$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.726753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes11c2,318$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.29920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No48c2,202$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.991,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0006232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes47c1,544$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.245,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No53c1,386$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.275240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes21c1,361$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.711,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No79c1,287$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.521,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No77c973.68$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3219155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No77c841.59$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.6857540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes13c837.65$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.416412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No79c794.59$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.961,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c693.87$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.063,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes27c663.61$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5440242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c524.26$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.358,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes46c465$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2215768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes20c406.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5850643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes20c404.86$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.721533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No51c392.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.7629037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes21c363$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6449136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes22c360.44$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.481,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes22c331$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.971,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3918631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No79c299.18$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.831,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes26c229.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.458660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes21c226.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.617843.6%34 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed No45c206.94$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8220934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes53c192.38$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023542.9%15 W · 20 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes22c191.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6849535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No64c159.13$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5119040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes21c156.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8366837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No80c156$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No80c156$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked No74c151.88$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes32c149.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7924535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes50c147.17$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes22c146.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.183638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa249…08b6backed Yes16c133.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.53138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes11c129.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.273,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes23c122.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2829047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…893abacked No79c119.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+60.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked No49c111.87$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.194680.4%37 W · 9 L+14.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+114.5%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No76c108.33$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2617051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0211350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked No52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No68c95.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.671,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No56c95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2730847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ae…2ff5backed Yes17c88.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-58%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d2c…00b5backed Yes33c85.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.271145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked No73c85$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.543545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed No53c73.79$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.682352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Yes31c67.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.762850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No79c62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.022,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Yes56c60.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes20c56.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.355946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes49c55.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3548547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No77c52.75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9521938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.535246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1012755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No60c49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5772058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes30c48.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.511,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No68c46.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5750656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba1…6aefbacked Yes37c45.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.861275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83de…89c6backed Yes56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4415625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No79c42.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.931,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Yes49c40.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.024143.9%18 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd20f…78e1backed Yes45c40.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed No80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88453.6%45 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc80…3b15backed Yes47c39.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.66944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d8…7520backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a1…ab16backed No80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.54872.9%35 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No78c34.27$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5442462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No79c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.938855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No65c24.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6960156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129446.8%44 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d4f…000ebacked Yes52c20.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No79c20.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2511848.3%57 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5783…429dbacked No51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46471.9%46 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.410649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6968…447bbacked No79c18.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No80c15.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5437…6e45backed No79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.152245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.8wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-26%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.