TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: DRX vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DRXof DRX, ZETA DIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,312

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked DRX63c16,837$10,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,291.8928955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed DRX65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.9910455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed ZETA DIVISION38c9,000$3,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.152155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked ZETA DIVISION36c4,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9926738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed ZETA DIVISION35c2,350$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.541734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked ZETA DIVISION36c2,254$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.2828143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked DRX65c1,934$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6864269%29 W · 13 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked ZETA DIVISION35c1,500$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53019751.8%102 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed ZETA DIVISION37c1,500$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.2932245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed ZETA DIVISION20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac2…dddcbacked ZETA DIVISION34c1,400$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.0512652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe08b…614fbacked ZETA DIVISION41c1,379$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.28944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked ZETA DIVISION24c1,292$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.464843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed ZETA DIVISION35c1,141$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.7417948.6%87 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079e…5e12backed ZETA DIVISION36c1,132$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed ZETA DIVISION36c1,112$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3964337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb1…aebabacked DRX64c1,103$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.244445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed ZETA DIVISION35c1,100$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38528541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed DRX76c1,018$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.3325554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed DRX64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3606541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed DRX63c974.44$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.5425556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed ZETA DIVISION36c958.29$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.911338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed DRX63c955.6$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.575962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed ZETA DIVISION38c898.42$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.42634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked ZETA DIVISION37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed ZETA DIVISION36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2888640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed DRX63c736.8$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.623565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed ZETA DIVISION37c653.11$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6563955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked ZETA DIVISION26c579$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed ZETA DIVISION35c576.36$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5515038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e6d…6f31backed ZETA DIVISION43c569.99$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.296443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed ZETA DIVISION35c565.49$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2322346.6%104 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed DRX71c501.19$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.649255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed03…1caabacked DRX58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2106448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ada…36cfbacked DRX66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed DRX66c498.33$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.796570.8%46 W · 19 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed DRX56c492.8$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4116950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed ZETA DIVISION41c489.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6618735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed DRX63c467.44$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.958357.8%48 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed DRX67c395.23$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0835331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed DRX63c391.27$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7725660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x76e8…f211backed DRX65c383.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.341250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…1222backed ZETA DIVISION36c379.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.83666.7%24 W · 12 L+7.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xec95…a2dcbacked ZETA DIVISION36c377.86$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+116%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed ZETA DIVISION35c374.63$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.122133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed ZETA DIVISION35c372.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4493148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed DRX79c371.51$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.451,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed DRX56c344.31$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6781134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ZETA DIVISION37c322.09$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6960154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dae…72febacked DRX64c302.8$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.011968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed ZETA DIVISION36c300.77$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3613661%83 W · 53 L+14.8wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed ZETA DIVISION36c300.01$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1527145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked DRX64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1083066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+45.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed DRX70c296.27$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.868481%68 W · 16 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked DRX66c287.12$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.771,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed ZETA DIVISION36c279.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.819240.1%77 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked ZETA DIVISION38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013043.1%56 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5848…56a1backed ZETA DIVISION38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed ZETA DIVISION36c244.98$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9928252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed ZETA DIVISION35c234.43$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.05650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked ZETA DIVISION35c224.77$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+116%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed DRX66c222.24$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3611246.4%52 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x461b…38ffbacked ZETA DIVISION40c213.15$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854864.6%31 W · 17 L+8.9wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked ZETA DIVISION37c202.32$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.765653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked DRX55c201.76$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.791,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed DRX65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ZETA DIVISION37c192.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.221,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed DRX80c191.18$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.245048%24 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed ZETA DIVISION35c187.31$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.562035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed DRX55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8236145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked DRX61c179.06$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0813662.5%85 W · 51 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b38…6b73backed DRX67c173.27$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d9…ac79backed DRX66c166.4$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.182853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed ZETA DIVISION38c165.79$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6312149.6%60 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed DRX63c162.85$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.035937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed DRX61c160.33$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4833346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DRX68c158.17$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.571,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked ZETA DIVISION38c153.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.210555.2%58 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed ZETA DIVISION35c151.03$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534634.8%16 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked DRX63c147.75$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.291,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked DRX69c135.46$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.861,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea6…2d1dbacked ZETA DIVISION37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdbb…a2cdbacked ZETA DIVISION37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed ZETA DIVISION35c133.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.754850%24 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked DRX58c132$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.529238%35 W · 57 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6109…0baabacked ZETA DIVISION38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb961…5554backed ZETA DIVISION23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed DRX63c129$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.738349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a1b…dcf3backed ZETA DIVISION39c127.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked DRX79c126.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2525336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed ZETA DIVISION28c124.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6969722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed DRX56c122.23$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4312640.5%51 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed DRX79c120.01$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.362763%17 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed DRX57c118.88$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.027544%33 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3e…db66backed ZETA DIVISION36c115.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.661546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked ZETA DIVISION36c113.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.07825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked DRX59c113.21$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.838548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked ZETA DIVISION47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.740254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked ZETA DIVISION35c110$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.522440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e9…39a0backed ZETA DIVISION37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.