TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
CSyD Defensa y Justiciaof CA Vélez Sarsfield, CSyD Defensa y Justicia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,013 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed CA Vélez Sarsfield45c4,280$1,932 inLost-$1,932.392,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed CSyD Defensa y Justicia61c3,909$2,401 inWon+$1,507.842,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed CSyD Defensa y Justicia65c2,754$1,780 inWon+$974.498,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed CA Vélez Sarsfield25c2,184$546 inLost-$545.5224855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed CA Vélez Sarsfield25c600$150 inLost-$15024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed CSyD Defensa y Justicia74c597.65$442 inWon+$155.391,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed CA Vélez Sarsfield23c200$46 inLost-$4628851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed CA Vélez Sarsfield23c136$31 inLost-$31.288551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed CSyD Defensa y Justicia66c101.24$67 inWon+$33.9269453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed CSyD Defensa y Justicia54c73$39 inWon+$33.581,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed CA Vélez Sarsfield46c73$34 inLost-$33.5821938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked CA Vélez Sarsfield25c64.99$16 inLost-$16.2518050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed CSyD Defensa y Justicia60c61.43$37 inWon+$24.7116449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed CSyD Defensa y Justicia66c55.23$37 inWon+$18.6841262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed CA Vélez Sarsfield24c50.91$12 inLost-$12.2516050.6%81 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked CSyD Defensa y Justicia75c50$38 inWon+$12.53,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked CA Vélez Sarsfield25c50$13 inLost-$12.56927.5%19 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed CA Vélez Sarsfield26c48.85$13 inLost-$12.72,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed CSyD Defensa y Justicia55c33.88$19 inWon+$15.0860156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2167…5dedbacked CSyD Defensa y Justicia76c32.89$25 inWon+$7.891838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed CSyD Defensa y Justicia60c30.65$19 inWon+$12.1363061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed CA Vélez Sarsfield42c30$13 inLost-$12.785220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed CSyD Defensa y Justicia56c25.22$14 inWon+$11.195155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed CSyD Defensa y Justicia68c21$14 inWon+$6.6819349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed CSyD Defensa y Justicia67c15.68$10 inWon+$5.2516459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.