South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14aed49bf3d5471d877c1921b1b8657e47220a3616df671ddf4e38079a3a230f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 4,459$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 40c | 3,829$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.88 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,388$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.25 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 47c | 729$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.91 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Yes | 38c | 646.52$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.84 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47b5…fe36backed Yes | 45c | 544.33$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 497.97$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.59 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 383.4$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 46c | 319$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 54c | 310.66$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.72 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 43c | 248.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 247$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 43c | 225.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.84 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 60c | 215.43$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.1 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 55c | 181.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 176.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 153.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 50c | 140.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 50c | 136.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 55c | 111.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 108.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 55c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…cae2backed No | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed No | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 33c | 35.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 65c | 34.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 33c | 30.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 46c | 27.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 54c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 37c | 27.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed No | 55c | 27.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 44c | 25.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…5e9bbacked No | 56c | 25.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 72c | 21.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…c179backed No | 57c | 21.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 56c | 20.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: CA Vélez Sarsfield O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: CSyD Defensa y Justicia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: CSyD Defensa y Justicia O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)CSyD Defensa y Justicia won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-2.5)CSyD Defensa y Justicia won
- Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-1.5)CA Vélez Sarsfield won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.