South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07b48c37b38c6bcc4014978c508d9c2bd0113594ac3f6d70ab5100fef7d1aaee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 8c | 4,491$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.54 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 3,286$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 69c | 2,988$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.28 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 2,965$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.9 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…1417backed Under | 17c | 2,605$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 31c | 2,556$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.49 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 70c | 1,704$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.2 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 21c | 1,507$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.72 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 65c | 1,378$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 80c | 1,258$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.79 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…b35cbacked Under | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…fd69backed Under | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 64c | 1,138$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.46 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 77c | 917.62$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.05 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 17c | 833.77$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.77 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 64c | 833.32$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 34c | 826.26$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.19 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Under | 36c | 808.08$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.91 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 59c | 758.64$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.89 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 30c | 656.1$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.48 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 80c | 509.63$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Over | 69c | 460.87$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.87 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 25c | 458.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.41 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 17c | 357.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over | 48c | 306.09$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.05 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over | 67c | 239.91$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 28c | 198.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 32c | 191.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 41c | 185.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 15c | 165.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 129.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 127.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b4…17eebacked Over | 69c | 107.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 31c | 105.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 50c | 97.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 39c | 94.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 39c | 94.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Under | 39c | 91.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Under | 23c | 87.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 58c | 86.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…20d5backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Under | 33c | 60.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 44c | 55.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 67c | 47.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 44c | 46.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 68c | 43.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 44c | 42.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2959…b716backed Under | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…7520backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b7…665abacked Over | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 45c | 24.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 61c | 23.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…da12backed Over | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 62c | 19.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…9a3abacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over | 68c | 15.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: CA Vélez Sarsfield O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: CSyD Defensa y Justicia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: CSyD Defensa y Justicia O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)CSyD Defensa y Justicia won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-2.5)CSyD Defensa y Justicia won
- Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-1.5)CA Vélez Sarsfield won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.