Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x130480c97eb48e9a1724f6e5e52ac470c879dc2f4b43d0de633469b36d8bca3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,128$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.88 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 1c | 1,631$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 1,424$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.1 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…5e92backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 999.16$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.82 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 80c | 970$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 833.25$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 68c | 711.03$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.38 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 35c | 584.09$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 21c | 503.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 12c | 421.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 48c | 369.24$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.38 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 63c | 273.44$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 268.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 28c | 250.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 71c | 243.86$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 36c | 219.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.2 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 212.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 25c | 204.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 78c | 185.26$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…3bb9backed Yes | 32c | 156.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 20c | 143$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 18c | 114.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 72c | 102.63$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…33f4backed Yes | 75c | 90.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked No | 76c | 75.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 32c | 74.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 75c | 72.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 71.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0869…1b8fbacked Yes | 42c | 70.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 31c | 69.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Yes | 73c | 68.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…2ba2backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 15c | 67.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 48c | 67.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 63.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed No | 46c | 52.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 65c | 51.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 25c | 50.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…64acbacked Yes | 21c | 50.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 50.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…12b2backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 79c | 40.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 44c | 40.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 63c | 38.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 66c | 38.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee71…9204backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 68c | 37.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Yes | 76c | 31.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 30.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 73c | 23.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked No | 67c | 22.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 68c | 16.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked No | 80c | 15.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.