TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes46c24,110$10,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.0498945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No55c9,810$5,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,462.891,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes59c9,583$5,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,694.1235550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed No56c6,358$3,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.174148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No41c5,222$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,080.986349.2%31 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No41c4,872$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.277549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No61c4,689$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.425450%27 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes61c4,667$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.664440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes59c3,083$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.971457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No41c2,700$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59310358.3%60 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No41c2,403$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.3270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes42c2,199$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.961,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes60c1,966$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.026341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No40c1,854$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.2172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes59c1,814$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.533346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No39c1,601$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.1720043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes61c1,463$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.543540%14 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed No28c1,418$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.921844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No39c1,393$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.491,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No53c1,276$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.7168150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No53c1,140$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.4799340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes59c1,017$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003775.7%28 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Yes3c899.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes47c790.01$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36816437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No44c783.13$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.8913228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed No48c743.03$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.812147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No44c647.19$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.211,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes32c644.97$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9335247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes6c611.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9216159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes59c593.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed No57c510.16$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.582860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c506.86$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.333,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed No76c500$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.51963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes61c484.28$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.416339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No63c471.44$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2527058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed No42c470.09$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.651752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545b…7e82backed Yes38c465.86$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes48c458.52$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.748344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No45c443.34$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.521,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No61c409.37$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6787154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes53c396.35$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.589070%63 W · 27 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked No47c383.97$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.555813.8%8 W · 50 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-22.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes41c330$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6252639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes47c319.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5680249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b03…b127backed Yes32c307.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002025%5 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa708…4effbacked Yes61c306.56$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No36c303$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.929437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No40c302.93$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.515154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No40c280.88$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5152923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No41c261.1$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.05825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No41c261.1$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.052142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes51c259.59$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.456232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes69c251.81$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2313952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes51c251$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9710840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes42c248.27$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8444350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes59c242.23$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.149944.4%44 W · 55 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes59c225.42$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1332152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes54c213.93$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.51656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No27c207.31$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7112551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes59c201.75$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0373438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11610043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No26c198$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5222042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No59c183.1$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.435446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes42c182.03$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6828721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked No58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes61c170.16$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.839435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed No57c169.49$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.881758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed No59c168.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.417367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes47c158.72$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1119852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.526450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes68c147.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.162810.7%3 W · 25 L-6.8wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-73.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No70c146.34$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4917244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed No64c142.36$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.392965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes63c139.07$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.296352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked No43c127.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.911369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed No59c127$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.071241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Yes61c122.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.6wins-0.33per pick57cpaid-62.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc5f4…d4b0backed Yes56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5c…2ba2backed Yes59c110.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No41c109$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3137649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes61c108.1$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9411046.4%51 W · 59 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes19c107.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes64c106.44$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes54c105.31$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No41c104.44$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.623844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed No58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.45475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5914129.8%42 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602479.2%19 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5916948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572759.3%16 W · 11 L+6.8wins+0.25per pick34cpaid+61.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.817341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa93…df01backed Yes48c99.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes51c99.76$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8823953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes51c97.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506124.6%15 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes69c96.61$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6629370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.