Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5af514e5779c304bb5b9541f0423e6801f29267fda776b17c92dc4d610e5688
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 58c | 19,865$11,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,382.26 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed No | 0c | 17,364$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 1c | 10,054$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed No | 1c | 9,568$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 17c | 8,096$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,714.97 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 2c | 5,822$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 14c | 5,592$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,801.09 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 3c | 4,607$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 3,745$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.33 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 13c | 3,611$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.29 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 2,670$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.67 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 2,384$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.93 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 36c | 1,401$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.08 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 9c | 1,372$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 27c | 1,355$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.99 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,286$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.13 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 55c | 1,284$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.51 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 80c | 1,219$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.34 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,161$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.83 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 914.25$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.4 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 19c | 863.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.96 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 838.15$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.24 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked No | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.47 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.27per pick | 27cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked No | 1c | 788$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 16c | 772.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.53 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 2c | 753.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 19c | 585.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.89 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 13c | 572.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.13 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 11c | 464.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.71 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 45c | 429.37$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.82 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 20c | 361.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.46 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 43c | 312.86$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.03 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 19c | 311$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.91 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 19c | 295.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.55 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 43c | 295.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 37c | 289.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.62 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 20c | 276$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 57c | 261.65$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 80c | 256.2$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Yes | 20c | 249.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 80c | 221.4$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.12 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 20c | 220.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.43 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 20c | 214.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.61 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 11c | 186.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.68 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 44c | 180.41$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 11c | 177.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 23c | 161.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.59 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 20c | 157.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Yes | 18c | 150.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…db88backed Yes | 71c | 116.45$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 77c | 109.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 19c | 86.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 45c | 85.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 19c | 82.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Yes | 21c | 67.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 78c | 54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 55c | 53.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 38c | 52.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6e…22f5backed No | 40c | 51.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…768ebacked No | 79c | 49.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 71c | 40.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed No | 77c | 34.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 78c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 78c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 78c | 26.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 78c | 21.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 78c | 18.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed No | 67c | 18.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 59cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.