MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4185ec8428765ab57bc80e9523f0fbbf8835e1ac580b82f1e0f6a0db8d5fce3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof San Francisco Giants, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $917,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $987,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $917,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 220,114$131,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,639.16 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 99,086$41,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,469.88 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 51,505$20,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,111.31 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 35,366$21,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,792.81 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 35,000$16,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,400 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 25,883$12,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,446.05 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 25,620$12,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,320.12 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 25,339$12,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,929.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…d96fbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 25,073$10,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,306.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 23,804$14,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,370.87 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 23,225$11,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,342.37 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 20,380$11,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,582.26 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 20,100$8,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,844 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.99 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 19,718$8,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,612.4 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 18,000$9,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,665.86 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 16,160$6,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,352.15 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 14,021$7,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,010.97 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 13,202$5,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,921.29 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 12,366$4,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,548.84 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 12,000$4,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,737.5 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 11,840$6,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,209.71 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 11,542$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,009.54 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 9,800$5,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 9,798$5,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.3 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 9,194$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.03 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 7,907$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.65 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 75c | 7,671$5,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,758.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Seattle Mariners | 79c | 7,351$5,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.73 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 7,343$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.36 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 6,850$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.24 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 5,373$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.53 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 5,296$3,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.7 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 4,965$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.07 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 4,921$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.56 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 4,892$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…f729backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 4,841$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 4,837$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.37 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 79c | 4,548$3,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,571.74 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Francisco Giants | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 3,315$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.02 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 3,208$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.45 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 2,884$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.14 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 2,672$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.15 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 2,453$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Francisco Giants | 67c | 2,389$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.8 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 2,222$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.77 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 2,172$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.8 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 2,152$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.56 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 2,000$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.14 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 79c | 1,970$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.7 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…3035backed Seattle Mariners | 14c | 1,904$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.78 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,894$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.1 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747a…766dbacked Seattle Mariners | 70c | 1,876$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.02 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e2…9c15backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,752$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 1,725$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.73 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,710$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.05 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,689$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.27 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 77c | 1,633$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.67 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…211bbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,625$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 1,526$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.78 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 1,501$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.07 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 1,491$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.12 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,489$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.91 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 35c | 1,474$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.21 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 1,472$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.66 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…adc6backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 1,408$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c81…8f47backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,372$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 1,289$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.46 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 1,251$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Francisco Giants | 10c | 1,216$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.36 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 1,099$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.62 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,024$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.84 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 889.83$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.78 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 880.61$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.07 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 877.2$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.97 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 877.2$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.97 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b0f0backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 870.68$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 857.66$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.32 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed San Francisco Giants | 79c | 834.42$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.54 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 834$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 792.89$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.08 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 790.35$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.16 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 790$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.52 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 762$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.66 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 737.98$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 731.29$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.32 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 728.88$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.71 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 727.43$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.43 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.