MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8976c5c80952ab4f472dbcafdf3682aadff64e84d24abc9ba9c1668ee564ba1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 4,077$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.94 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…3128backed Under | 49c | 3,326$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.36 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…dcfabacked Under | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +251.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 2,101$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.88 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Under | 56c | 1,944$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.17 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 44c | 1,105$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.95 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 59c | 1,035$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.85 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 58c | 1,024$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.08 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 944.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.7 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Under | 58c | 692.6$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.6 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 627.7$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.09 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Over | 50c | 500.1$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 68c | 409.31$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 405.5$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.53 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 40c | 374.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 54c | 346.5$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.77 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 57c | 337.89$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 41c | 330.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.45 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 54c | 320.8$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.57 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 65c | 298.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 58c | 274$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 257.14$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 56c | 241.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 65c | 219.75$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 60c | 202.7$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Under | 58c | 171.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 15c | 171.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 56c | 158.96$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…3741backed Over | 45c | 147.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 35c | 139.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 44c | 130.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 128.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 45c | 123.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 113.89$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…0f99backed Over | 49c | 102.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 46c | 102.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…33b5backed Over | 58c | 101.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Under | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…5652backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 45c | 94.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 58c | 94.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 42c | 90.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 64c | 88.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 81.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 58c | 76.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 60c | 75.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 42c | 67.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 57c | 64.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 57c | 63.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 58c | 62.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 42c | 61.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Under | 55c | 61.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 48c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…a760backed Under | 53c | 58.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Under | 53c | 54.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 54c | 38.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 46c | 38.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…a97ebacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeccc…f0f8backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Under | 57c | 31.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 55c | 31.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Over | 42c | 28.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…b6e1backed Under | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Under | 49c | 23.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Under | 56c | 23.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 56c | 23.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 22.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Under | 74c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…d888backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 65c | 19.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.