TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No6c35,124$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.077,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed Yes70c20,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0001050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes71c13,047$9,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.1773440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No29c11,909$3,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,492.722,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No4c8,732$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.52,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No14c7,418$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.3671533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b46…8438backed Yes72c6,796$4,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.88850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No30c5,562$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.745844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No29c5,464$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.7785250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes70c4,261$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.837034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No30c4,200$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26014853.4%79 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No30c3,627$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0881330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No29c3,576$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.0677350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No29c3,324$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.3351842.1%218 W · 300 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No14c2,992$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.1120742.5%88 W · 119 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No29c2,586$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9466047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No29c2,273$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.2916953.8%91 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes71c2,182$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.786038.3%23 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No11c2,134$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.832,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.921369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes71c1,183$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.891,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked No30c1,135$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.621040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4f…32e0backed No4c839.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.821216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No14c763.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11024851.6%128 W · 120 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes71c705$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.451776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked No30c632.16$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No29c546.5$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.761,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked No30c505.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed No30c505.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes71c376.13$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.085048%24 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No11c369.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4933853.3%180 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked No29c358.05$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.833836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Yes71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1110054%54 W · 46 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Yes71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.118061.3%49 W · 31 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No29c330.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4539852.5%209 W · 189 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No8c306.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.859237%34 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfbc…f42bbacked Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed No11c256.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.329169.2%63 W · 28 L+10.6wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes72c219.26$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3991148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No28c206.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8921454.2%116 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed No30c202.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No30c182.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6530550.8%155 W · 150 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed No29c173.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No29c172$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8826853.7%144 W · 124 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Yes72c170$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.61650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed No30c151.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes71c135.1$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.661,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Yes70c128.57$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.572944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No30c122.36$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7133959%200 W · 139 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No29c122.07$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.786040%24 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked No17c121.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.494669.6%32 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked No17c121.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.529866.3%65 W · 33 L+12.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No29c117.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.29968.7%68 W · 31 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec22…89cebacked Yes71c112.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked No29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes78c102.24$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1424466%161 W · 83 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dac…6b71backed Yes73c97.56$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed No28c96.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.831414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-77.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xff4b…6555backed Yes71c95.14$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.594744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…002fbacked Yes71c95.14$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.591353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8b…13e6backed Yes72c90.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.421963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid+37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No12c84.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3523348.1%112 W · 121 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f91…6369backed Yes70c84.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes76c83.49$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.294835.4%17 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x336e…2ae5backed Yes71c73.24$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes70c73.1$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7437049.5%183 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a6…e544backed Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.424151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985b…2c2fbacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccad…46ecbacked No29c68.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed No27c68.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No30c68.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5827554.9%151 W · 124 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc41…c3aebacked No30c68.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes71c64.68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7610541%43 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No30c62.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.631,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Yes71c58.61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176050%30 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes72c56.94$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.942748.1%13 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick67cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3309…209dbacked Yes71c56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No28c52.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8440850.7%207 W · 201 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Yes78c51.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.313253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b10…2920backed Yes71c46.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252885.7%24 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2511256.3%63 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No29c41.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.018746%40 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No28c41.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4728446.1%131 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b3b…900fbacked Yes71c38.06$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ee…83b0backed Yes71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes71c34.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.134973.5%36 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes77c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4923347.2%110 W · 123 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Yes70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf1d…9591backed Yes70c24.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.256660.6%40 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb84…7cd9backed Yes75c21.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…ac48backed Yes71c21.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.111163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes70c20.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.129647.9%46 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked Yes69c19.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Yes71c18.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.241040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Yes71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.432352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.