TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb84…7cd9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT5149%25 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+295.1%+$377.72
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$54.61
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+158.1%+$181.8
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+51%+$62.17
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+119.9%+$148.71
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$55.64
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40%+$28
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$111.73
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.95
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$65.35
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.92
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$45.81
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$34.71
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$28.45
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+107%+$32.09
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51%+$50.97
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$14.87
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$97.25
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$26.04
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 22 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Valorant: Joblife vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked QT DIG∞ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Joblife vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: DRX vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$38.76
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-68.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$723
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.