MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73c0e4bfead05a4ee5dfbd1f80239e12a0b7eac2893d84b63473d0b1388e1e60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 47c | 110,653$52,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,237.43 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 62,011$32,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,024.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 18,300$9,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,784.2 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 53c | 7,623$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550.91 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 7,181$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 46c | 5,692$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.38 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Under | 47c | 5,117$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.15 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 2,563$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.24 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 2,150$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.5 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 1,767$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.97 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 1,694$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.76 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 1,566$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.21 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,238$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 52c | 1,216$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.78 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Under | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 50c | 985.57$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.64 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 850$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 780.59$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.57 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 48c | 748.08$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.99 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 49c | 727.69$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.57 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 664.86$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.63 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 602.45$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Over | 52c | 598.08$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.08 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 21c | 585.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.02 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Under | 32c | 560.33$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.95 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 57c | 536.92$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.42 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 55c | 498$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.45 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 55c | 415$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.58 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 46c | 390$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 52c | 338.9$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.23 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 52c | 314.65$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.03 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Under | 45c | 300.24$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 52c | 256.3$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 249.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.17 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Under | 46c | 201.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…002fbacked Under | 46c | 201.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 52c | 190.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 48c | 180.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 53c | 168.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 133.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 53c | 132$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 42c | 129.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Over | 52c | 128.15$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 53c | 112.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 73c | 99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Over | 42c | 97.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 53c | 96.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 49c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 48c | 94.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 53c | 84.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 53c | 83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 47c | 79.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 49c | 78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Over | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 54c | 66.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…a95fbacked Under | 46c | 63.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 48c | 63.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Over | 52c | 61.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 46c | 58.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 46c | 56.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 50c | 47.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 53c | 44.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 41.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 49c | 41.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Over | 51c | 39.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 52c | 36.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 49c | 31.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 57c | 28.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…4e4fbacked Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Over | 48c | 23.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357a…951ebacked Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 57c | 19.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 56c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 486 | 51.6%251 W · 235 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 79c | 15.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. AthleticsDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.