MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa25adf8a2ad8adf1a941f793cdf9950514720df3f8ab885ca3f2a09a65b60896
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf559…f462backed Athletics | 59c | 37,458$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 9,166$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,407.89 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 6,238$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 4,849$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.71 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 4,352$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.57 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Detroit Tigers | 75c | 2,519$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.32 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 1,513$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.31 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 1,116$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.17 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 8c | 972.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 36c | 925.69$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.44 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 866.09$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Athletics | 59c | 490.19$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.21 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 369.88$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.23 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Athletics | 59c | 350$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 298$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.86 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 268.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.3 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Athletics | 56c | 122.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 114$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 111.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 49.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Athletics | 38c | 46.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Athletics | 58c | 36.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 35.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 35.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21e…044abacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 28.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718b…1bf2backed Athletics | 59c | 27.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. AthleticsDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.