South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7676b95704fd104627d1e8a1d74781b46e792db682b230aeb89623ea567cb88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 33c | 5,039$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.6 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 69c | 3,419$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.41 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 3,182$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 40c | 2,529$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.31 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 595.23$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.22 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 40c | 476.15$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.69 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 66c | 154.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 67c | 135.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 68c | 128.62$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 66c | 115.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 53c | 92.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 58c | 53.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 42.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed No | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 37.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed No | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 55c | 26.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed No | 67c | 18.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked No | 77c | 14.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked No | 77c | 14.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata (-1.5)CA Aldosivi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.