South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8692b43fc079bbbf4b2f8cd6847cde5ba423a55b24a011384032648a69fd55a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Aldosiviof Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata, CA Aldosivi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Aldosivi | 79c | 5,472$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 23c | 4,054$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.32 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 14c | 1,332$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.81 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 22c | 663.66$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed CA Aldosivi | 72c | 259.57$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed CA Aldosivi | 80c | 252.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 32c | 149.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked CA Aldosivi | 77c | 93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed CA Aldosivi | 78c | 44.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed CA Aldosivi | 76c | 37.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed CA Aldosivi | 79c | 26.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed CA Aldosivi | 74c | 25.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed CA Aldosivi | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked CA Aldosivi | 79c | 19.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata (-1.5)this page
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.