South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x750282f3dfd175c8b1c40bbe709bae35996ab9d4a9af3ce0d71c731c20493109
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 3,110$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.28 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 1,440$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.8 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 67c | 1,382$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.15 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 33c | 960.54$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.92 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 64c | 339.94$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.73 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 35c | 322.25$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 68c | 289.47$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 31c | 232.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 41c | 121.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 91.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 65c | 85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 61c | 69.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…c7b6backed Over | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 56.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 32c | 53.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 67c | 25.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 64c | 19.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)CA Talleres won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.