South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99c00fa25c7448a4f8ab7397892fcbef04269f70440f317fa71a979eb7f6b335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 60c | 1,521$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.4 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 53c | 1,505$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.24 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 1,128$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.99 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 42c | 851.99$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.72 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Under | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 752.04$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.75 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 745.85$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.38 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 54c | 744.4$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 35c | 700$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 651.02$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.98 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked Under | 9c | 555.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 40c | 530.67$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.4 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 39c | 491.29$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.76 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Under | 63c | 479.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 10c | 453.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 48c | 347.56$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.54 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 320.59$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.21 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 55c | 301.71$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.83 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 44c | 247.2$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 28c | 198.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 37c | 196.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 37c | 171.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 62c | 136.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 39c | 125.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 16c | 119$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 62c | 91.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 38c | 78.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 68.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 77c | 65.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 76c | 48.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Under | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 32c | 31.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Over | 39c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 28.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Under | 63c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 66c | 18.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)CA Talleres won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.