South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46ee012d25569cf2bb533908810ff8c0c82b03a27bf36cf1975167066cac88d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 33c | 3,498$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.77 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 61c | 2,482$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.47 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 2,094$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.29 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 1,325$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.61 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 49c | 792$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.02 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dedfbacked Over | 37c | 347.58$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 53c | 333.72$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.9 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 8c | 331.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 7c | 172.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 89.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…4078backed Under | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 25c | 76.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69e…75d7backed Under | 41c | 68.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 58.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 67c | 42.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 59c | 40.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 38.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 66c | 30.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…63a7backed Under | 67c | 22.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 66c | 19.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: CA Central Córdoba 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Central Córdoba (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CA Central Córdoba won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-2.5)CA Central Córdoba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.