South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa63e984d62804bbe0035f79f1785533a01ebf8e589ec9cc368b47faee8c107a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Central Córdobaof CA Tigre, CA Central Córdoba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CA Tigre | 38c | 1,136$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.86 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed CA Central Córdoba | 70c | 1,095$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.52 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…8ba9backed CA Central Córdoba | 22c | 209.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked CA Central Córdoba | 72c | 140.01$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed CA Tigre | 28c | 140.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed CA Tigre | 30c | 113.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CA Central Córdoba | 74c | 93.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…6fa9backed CA Tigre | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed CA Tigre | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked CA Central Córdoba | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CA Tigre | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked CA Tigre | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed CA Central Córdoba | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed CA Central Córdoba | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed CA Tigre | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked CA Central Córdoba | 80c | 19.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)this page
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: CA Central Córdoba 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Central Córdoba (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-2.5)CA Central Córdoba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.