South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc153871d9398b5ca55143cb6ba56ac110f55dbab0f87c30e53a6feb4342c092d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 48c | 4,054$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.42 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 2,780$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.89 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 38c | 1,367$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.03 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 66c | 388.5$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 37c | 338.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.02 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…a7debacked Under | 48c | 320.43$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under | 50c | 294.22$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 233.83$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.31 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 44c | 211.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 187.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 35c | 158.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 52c | 110.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 78.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Under | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 34c | 66.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 41c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…1cc0backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 34c | 39.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 39.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 56c | 39.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 54c | 39.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 46c | 39.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 36.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…24b1backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 53c | 29.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 49c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 53c | 20.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 76c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: CA Central Córdoba 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Central Córdoba (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CA Central Córdoba won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-2.5)CA Central Córdoba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.