Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Augsburg vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bd8e0502ada3c3f02d5202d5a352af0d25f18dfc2d06abbfb6abc39c296486a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 7,170$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,618.62 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 78c | 5,555$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,332.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 52c | 3,041$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.03 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 52c | 3,040$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.99 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 2,424$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.72 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 38c | 1,926$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 13c | 1,911$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.61 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 14c | 1,910$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.42 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 77c | 1,563$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.41 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 1,394$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.67 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 33c | 1,268$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.91 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 13c | 912$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.56 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 40c | 842.1$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.14 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 32c | 818.26$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.31 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 789.75$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.05 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 23c | 746.45$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.68 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 39c | 738.67$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.62 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 48c | 723.53$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.98 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 51c | 699.99$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Under | 48c | 653.95$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 12c | 522.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.91 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 40c | 500$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.1 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 62c | 472.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…d57ebacked Over | 75c | 394$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 74c | 322.9$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 68c | 309.09$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.89 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…1732backed Over | 43c | 300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 38c | 253.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.39 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 31c | 244.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.69 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 31c | 244.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.58 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 52c | 240$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 29c | 231.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 74c | 223.46$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 77c | 212.1$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Under | 46c | 210.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 38c | 193.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 80c | 177.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…e2dcbacked Over | 76c | 172.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 25c | 161.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 22c | 145.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 21c | 137.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…87c3backed Over | 70c | 103.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Under | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 73c | 79.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 21c | 78.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…30e0backed Under | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…c6e4backed Under | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Over | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed Under | 44c | 65.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Under | 16c | 64.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc138…c75dbacked Over | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 71c | 55.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 51c | 54.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…e583backed Over | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 61c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Under | 42c | 50.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked Over | 40c | 49.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Over | 57c | 48.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Under | 30c | 47.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Under | 54c | 47.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 63c | 46.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 31c | 46.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 31c | 46.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…6211backed Under | 64c | 45.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…975cbacked Over | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…dc0fbacked Under | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 38c | 43.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 38c | 40.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…49e1backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 35.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 40c | 33.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 61c | 33.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…a7d3backed Over | 72c | 31.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Under | 33c | 31.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 74c | 30.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 65c | 24.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 94 | 68.1%64 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 80c | 13.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Augsburg vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Augsburg vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Augsburg vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-2.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)FC Augsburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.