South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacbe7f654f12da6d5551dc4318d2bc976e6eddfea84ce71af4a66421b6023495
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 1,738$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.98 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 1,140$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 35c | 745.74$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.87 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 584.94$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.73 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 12c | 442.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 62c | 316.87$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 66c | 209.05$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 34c | 209.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 193.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 69c | 149.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 28c | 142.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 70c | 122.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 79.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 69c | 76.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 48c | 71.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 32c | 63.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 51c | 58.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 68c | 54.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 50.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 28c | 44.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 28c | 44.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 54c | 36.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Under | 36c | 32.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Under | 65c | 23.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Platense: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Platense: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Platense: CA Platense O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Platense: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Platense: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Platense: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)CA Platense won
- Spread: CA Barracas Central (-2.5)CA Platense won
- Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)CA Barracas Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.