Other European Leagues · resolved market
CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe69392ee2dab0944d09e95440d38af51a11725ac310c8fbd00ff4b3ecf116c07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,666$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 2,455$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 21c | 2,162$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.78 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 25c | 1,249$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.58 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 72c | 1,042$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.05 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.01 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 28c | 694.44$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 22c | 501.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.3 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 74c | 388$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 26c | 348.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 320.73$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 79c | 191$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 9c | 185.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 21c | 184$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Under | 24c | 116.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Under | 51c | 62.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Over | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…1e34backed Over | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 80c | 26.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 3.5this page
- CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Académico de Viseu FC (-1.5)CS Marítimo won
- Spread: CS Marítimo (-1.5)Académico de Viseu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.