Other European Leagues · resolved market
CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00ec0472c8add4825fdce0a6d239681096cab211517166002bbc6d09eb44a79c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 2,543$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 1,958$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.24 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 58c | 1,568$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.44 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 43c | 1,014$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.73 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 493.84$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.75 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 381.31$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.16 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 75c | 356.53$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.48 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 58c | 254.89$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 249.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 237.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.91 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 42c | 233.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 182.14$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Under | 8c | 163.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 58c | 156$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 138.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 58c | 125.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 45c | 113$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 106.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed Under | 59c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…017dbacked Over | 42c | 82.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 45c | 75.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 55c | 75.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 59c | 65.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 57c | 65.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 43c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 41c | 39.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 40c | 37.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 36.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…7116backed Over | 42c | 33.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 58c | 33.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Over | 44c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Académico de Viseu FC (-1.5)CS Marítimo won
- Spread: CS Marítimo (-1.5)Académico de Viseu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.