South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ed3162b0290c2f7b2d2395f745d62ed0b8ef3d7d6aab9c3cd1652564572d596

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $84,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $84,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,351 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x122b…ac59backed Under	8c	20,476$1,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,699.32	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	+8.9wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+112%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ad7…42aabacked Over	43c	14,647$6,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,348.51	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	54c	6,185$3,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,317.71	2,514	39%980 W · 1,534 L	-32.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under	5c	4,474$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.61	110	25.5%28 W · 82 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under	9c	4,381$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.29	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under	7c	2,714$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.34	88	33%29 W · 59 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under	4c	2,625$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.25	118	17.8%21 W · 97 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under	57c	2,555$1,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,456.31	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under	65c	2,161$1,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,404.71	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-5.5wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-52%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	46c	2,048$933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,114.74	1,290	42.8%552 W · 738 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under	57c	2,000$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	59c	1,784$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.45	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Under	1c	1,750$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	113	28.3%32 W · 81 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under	8c	1,707$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.6	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	35c	1,447$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$938.56	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	57c	1,342$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under	8c	1,325$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	174	40.2%70 W · 104 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under	2c	1,119$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	290	37.9%110 W · 180 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under	5c	1,053$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.63	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…b67dbacked Under	57c	1,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under	6c	975$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	106	35.8%38 W · 68 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+106.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	6c	671$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	184	26.1%48 W · 136 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under	30c	600.21$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.68	99	20.2%20 W · 79 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Under	8c	573.04$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.06	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccc…a5d5backed Under	2c	536.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Under	42c	430.11$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.16	149	43%64 W · 85 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Under	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	81	39.5%32 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under	5c	363.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+118.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under	9c	330.54$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.83	124	34.7%43 W · 81 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	44c	324.64$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.8	1,439	37.5%540 W · 899 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Over	44c	300$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under	56c	300$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	194	47.9%93 W · 101 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under	8c	289.3$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.37	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Under	9c	250$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Over	29c	246.07$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.91	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	56c	222.98$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.87	2,335	51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Under	9c	216.37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.81	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	57c	196.8$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.18	3,405	51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L	+21.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	80c	190$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.53	506	43.9%222 W · 284 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over	68c	170$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.4	121	56.2%68 W · 53 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Under	18c	157.89$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.91	127	38.6%49 W · 78 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+96.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	66c	151.07$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.07	769	51.5%396 W · 373 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under	59c	118.64$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	55c	110$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.1	493	41%202 W · 291 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	80c	106.15$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.34	675	48%324 W · 351 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	41c	104.64$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.74	2,281	34.3%782 W · 1,499 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under	58c	102.79$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.21	193	49.2%95 W · 98 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	232	53%123 W · 109 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Under	58c	87$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.46	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-3.9wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over	42c	82.84$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.05	290	47.6%138 W · 152 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	56c	80.42$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.35	2,170	43.7%948 W · 1,222 L	-53.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under	57c	79.46$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.29	164	49.4%81 W · 83 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	72c	78$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.02	485	47.6%231 W · 254 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed Under	60c	75$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Over	68c	73.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.82	49	65.3%32 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	56c	69.68$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.02	1,651	50.6%836 W · 815 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Under	57c	68.9$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.27	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under	41c	56.2$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.11	519	45.7%237 W · 282 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over	37c	54.05$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.05	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under	57c	51.25$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.21	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under	75c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.59	350	46.3%162 W · 188 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	43c	46.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.06	321	39.6%127 W · 194 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe30f…ab88backed Under	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	76c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	352	40.3%142 W · 210 L	-28.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	74c	34$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	3,749	38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L	-33.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under	61c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.23	412	62.1%256 W · 156 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	58c	23.64$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.63	630	61.3%386 W · 244 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under	57c	22.59$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.87	150	57.3%86 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under	57c	19.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.02	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5this page
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 0.5Over won
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5Over won
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Over won
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Red Bull Bragantino O/U 0.5Over won
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Red Bull Bragantino O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)CA Mineiro won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event