South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddc40d0cb0e55d45760d9034616e88a9a1abedc95063b4ea60c0c9decdc9fe56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 17c | 3,595$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.58 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 22c | 641.04$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.01 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 19c | 600$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 16c | 495.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.91 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 65c | 339.3$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.51 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 79c | 300.76$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 212.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.45 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 75c | 155$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 22c | 99.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 21c | 56.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +11.1wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Under | 80c | 36.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 78c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Under | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b3…3783backed Under | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 79c | 17.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 78c | 17.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 80c | 14.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Red Bull Bragantino O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Red Bull Bragantino O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.