UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman (Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc490fc1301d33d9a0438ef93fea11d0e1b21253f7888176858469ae228a962da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anthony Wintof Anthony Wint, Terrance Chatman
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Terrance Chatman | 11c | 50,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Terrance Chatman | 12c | 16,036$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.58 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Terrance Chatman | 11c | 15,843$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.06 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Terrance Chatman | 11c | 11,200$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.74 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Terrance Chatman | 12c | 10,639$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.67 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…d4d5backed Terrance Chatman | 11c | 5,455$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Terrance Chatman | 12c | 4,888$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.56 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Terrance Chatman | 12c | 4,004$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.23 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Terrance Chatman | 11c | 1,819$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.87 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Terrance Chatman | 11c | 1,179$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Terrance Chatman | 12c | 1,154$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.48 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659d…a037backed Terrance Chatman | 11c | 1,012$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.33 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Terrance Chatman | 15c | 1,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.79 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Terrance Chatman | 12c | 965.72$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…3c67backed Terrance Chatman | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Terrance Chatman | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6950…b32abacked Terrance Chatman | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Terrance Chatman | 10c | 716.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Terrance Chatman | 12c | 663$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Terrance Chatman | 13c | 599.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Terrance Chatman | 21c | 591.83$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Terrance Chatman | 13c | 576.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…99e1backed Terrance Chatman | 25c | 573.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +11.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Terrance Chatman | 18c | 544.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Terrance Chatman | 10c | 515.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Terrance Chatman | 10c | 504.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Terrance Chatman | 14c | 502$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Terrance Chatman | 19c | 500$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…0944backed Terrance Chatman | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Terrance Chatman | 14c | 477.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1c…7c29backed Terrance Chatman | 13c | 450$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Terrance Chatman | 13c | 430.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Terrance Chatman | 25c | 387$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Terrance Chatman | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…e8f9backed Terrance Chatman | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Anthony Wint | 78c | 382.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Anthony Wint | 79c | 381.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Terrance Chatman | 19c | 347.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…4c88backed Terrance Chatman | 12c | 341.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Terrance Chatman | 14c | 328$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Terrance Chatman | 11c | 275.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Terrance Chatman | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Terrance Chatman | 13c | 253.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d5…5678backed Terrance Chatman | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…026dbacked Terrance Chatman | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849d…dde4backed Terrance Chatman | 11c | 215.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Terrance Chatman | 12c | 209$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Terrance Chatman | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Terrance Chatman | 23c | 196.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…0c83backed Terrance Chatman | 13c | 179.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Terrance Chatman | 11c | 169.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Terrance Chatman | 16c | 129.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0620…b0f0backed Terrance Chatman | 11c | 126.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324e…8793backed Terrance Chatman | 16c | 119.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Anthony Wint | 76c | 114.89$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Terrance Chatman | 12c | 113.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Terrance Chatman | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…ed56backed Terrance Chatman | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Terrance Chatman | 13c | 97.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Terrance Chatman | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Terrance Chatman | 17c | 60.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Terrance Chatman | 27c | 53.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Terrance Chatman | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman (Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Anthony Wint win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Terrance Chatman win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.