UFC · resolved market
O/U 0.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b373d22146343f93851b2099ebedaa21ce5aa4455ca3f7cfba5d7c35911876e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 46c | 2,017$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…99e1backed Over | 60c | 1,737$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.6 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +11.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Under | 48c | 1,316$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 27c | 1,296$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Over | 71c | 857.29$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.26 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddb…cfbcbacked Over | 59c | 723.14$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 28c | 437.49$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…7fecbacked Over | 72c | 427.78$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 54 | 92.6%50 W · 4 L | +20.8wins | +0.39per pick | 54cpaid | +361.4%equal weight | 79+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 405.54$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.38 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Over | 21c | 238.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +306.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b3…20fbbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 40c | 168.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Over | 61c | 76.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…6fa9backed Over | 61c | 71.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Over | 26c | 44.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 55c | 32.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…9a7fbacked Over | 71c | 30.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 0.5 Roundsthis page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC Fight Night: Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman (Heavyweight, Prelims)Anthony Wint won
- Will Anthony Wint win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Terrance Chatman win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.