South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85ef7a83e6d6027ed88b9bd1a2b831601d67f2613296b6e103ad417c6b19bdd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 5,799$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 53c | 5,048$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.38 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 4,354$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.86 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 71c | 2,559$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.35 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 2,510$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.94 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 1,778$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.18 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 46c | 1,720$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.45 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 44c | 1,519$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.35 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 59c | 1,386$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.85 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 52c | 1,153$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.83 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Over | 63c | 1,008$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.62 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 16c | 700.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 47c | 627.66$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.66 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 46c | 620.75$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.55 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 33c | 608.08$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.98 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 28c | 576.84$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.31 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 60c | 566.44$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.58 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 62c | 499.39$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.77 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 52c | 399.3$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.44 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 76c | 306.46$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 34c | 305$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 294.65$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 269.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over | 75c | 235.61$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 39c | 232.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.86 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 20c | 229.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 19c | 227.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 40c | 196.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 39c | 188$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…0baabacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Over | 54c | 185.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 76c | 162$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 66c | 149.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 30c | 144$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 7c | 143.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 34c | 141.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 52c | 141.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 53c | 140.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 55c | 136.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 77c | 130.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 50c | 129.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under | 31c | 128.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 29c | 123.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 11c | 117.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 34c | 114.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 113.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Over | 54c | 111.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 50c | 100.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 65c | 97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 35c | 96.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 56c | 92.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 70c | 87.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over | 39c | 86.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 43c | 69.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 33c | 68.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 57c | 65.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Under | 41c | 62.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Over | 77c | 60.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 35c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 35c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 51c | 55.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under | 35c | 49.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 53c | 47.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 47.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 35c | 44.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 41c | 38.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ff…50cbbacked Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…f26ebacked Over | 79c | 36.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Over | 54c | 36.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 55c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…811cbacked Over | 75c | 35.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 30c | 34.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 59c | 32.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb284…b1fbbacked Over | 77c | 32.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Under | 40c | 31.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…4c6cbacked Over | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +973.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 36c | 28.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Over | 60c | 27.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 59c | 27.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 76c | 24.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 61c | 24.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 69c | 24.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5this page
- CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: AA Argentinos Juniors O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: CA River Plate O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: CA River Plate O/U 1.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AA Argentinos Juniors (-1.5)CA River Plate won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA River Plate won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)AA Argentinos Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.