TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c5,799$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,864.668,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Over53c5,048$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.388763.2%55 W · 32 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over52c4,354$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.862,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over71c2,559$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.3531349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under40c2,510$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.942,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c1,778$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.181,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under46c1,720$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.458657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under44c1,519$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.3511143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over59c1,386$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.8512738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over52c1,153$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.8319447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under45c1,112$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over63c1,008$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.6212434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under16c700.83$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.378928.1%25 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Over47c627.66$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.664362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under46c620.75$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.552025%5 W · 15 L-5.5wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under33c608.08$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9823044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under28c576.84$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3121938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over60c566.44$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5816864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over62c499.39$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7721366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over52c399.3$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.4417440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Under31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over76c306.46$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.445746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under34c305$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.753737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c294.65$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.22,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c269.16$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.725,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over75c235.61$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.451963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over39c232.55$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8629037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under20c229.11$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4930048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under19c227.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.326225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+118.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under40c196.34$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5411025.5%28 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under39c188$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5521752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6109…0baabacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked Over54c185.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.181656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over76c162$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under66c149.05$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.375356.6%30 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under30c144$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8719053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under7c143.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4518426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under34c141.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2829047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over52c141.45$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6249341%202 W · 291 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under53c140.79$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7469453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Over55c136.18$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.282157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over77c130.71$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7111640.5%47 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under50c129.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.760156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under31c128.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.995834.5%20 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under29c123.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9612545.6%57 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under11c117.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5210635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under34c114.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.841,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under50c113.55$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2195155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Over54c111.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.211181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under50c100.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0341262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4523551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over65c97$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9538233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under35c96.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.081,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.154858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.159860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under56c92.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5550656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over70c87.49$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0251750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over39c86.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.046331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.23759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over43c69.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2517051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under33c68.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5189846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under57c65.29$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2913856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Under41c62.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.445230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Over77c60.25$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.983542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under35c56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.672058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under35c56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.618247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under51c55.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3563061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.517852.8%94 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under35c49.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.261942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under53c47.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3612662.7%79 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over65c47.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.661,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under35c44.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under41c38.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0419349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ff…50cbbacked Over79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.97475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick78cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…f26ebacked Over79c36.71$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x232f…8002backed Over54c36.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.72157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Over55c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.074456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over75c35.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under30c34.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4932139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Under59c32.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.454052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb284…b1fbbacked Over77c32.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.641861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under35c32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.218050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515057.3%86 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Under40c31.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.563167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfec…4c6cbacked Over79c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.511050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+973.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under36c28.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0718446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae3b…e06ebacked Over60c27.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.152254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over59c27.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2616051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.864062.5%25 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Over76c24.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.034353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over61c24.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4767548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over69c24.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4457540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.