TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,794 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes44c428.07$190 inLost-$190.4766837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c343.2$222 inWon+$120.778,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No58c205.44$118 inWon+$87.112,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c149.91$83 inWon+$67.211,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c125.69$72 inWon+$53.975,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…39bbbacked Yes43c123.26$53 inLost-$53757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes41c100.5$41 inLost-$41.312,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Yes35c100$35 inLost-$355236.5%19 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No59c94$55 inWon+$38.541,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No19c86.79$17 inWon+$70.0811640.5%47 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes43c85$37 inLost-$36.5519742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes37c79.99$30 inLost-$29.87334.2%25 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes38c79.17$30 inLost-$30.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed No58c58.53$34 inWon+$24.582441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No57c51.5$29 inWon+$22.1525955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No55c47.93$26 inWon+$21.5716050.6%81 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No55c35.26$19 inWon+$15.873,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No57c30.74$18 inWon+$13.2218050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes74c26.89$20 inLost-$20.0189846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes44c24.96$11 inLost-$10.977843.6%34 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Yes44c24.91$11 inLost-$10.969244.6%41 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes49c22.45$11 inLost-$111662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.