TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,665 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6be9…5998backed Under11c654.53$72 inLost-$7217440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c346.49$184 inLost-$184.298,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over63c122.16$77 inWon+$45.0266837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over43c120$52 inWon+$68.446530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over51c119.98$61 inWon+$59.3949341%202 W · 291 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa544…0c80backed Over27c102$28 inWon+$74.461376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.30per pick47cpaid+72.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over54c83.97$45 inWon+$38.9510055%55 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under34c34.85$12 inLost-$1210635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over65c21.82$14 inWon+$7.647262.5%45 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.