South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f246de8d132246e596cd74cd7f0efbfa329de36f52dd2b5c84ec404937adec6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 5,306$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.68 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 4,645$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.66 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 52c | 3,338$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.51 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 48c | 3,026$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.66 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 34c | 2,548$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.56 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 53c | 2,367$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.44 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Over | 45c | 2,227$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.54 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 5c | 1,931$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,654$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.2 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 44c | 1,281$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.72 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 1,098$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.59 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 53c | 1,065$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.51 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 4c | 1,056$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 62c | 762$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.56 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 744.9$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.97 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Under | 11c | 623.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 14c | 593.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 54c | 583.33$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.33 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 27c | 529.72$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 52c | 505.62$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.81 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 55c | 424.88$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Under | 29c | 400.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Under | 40c | 385$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 40c | 334.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 61c | 325$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 51c | 268$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 60c | 260$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 51c | 239.88$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 197.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Over | 54c | 181.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 15c | 180.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 40c | 177.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…7384backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under | 13c | 158.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 52c | 154$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 16c | 141.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 53c | 141.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Under | 21c | 138.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 51c | 107.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5f…1f5cbacked Under | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 52c | 89.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 79.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 63c | 78.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 54c | 77.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 65.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Under | 33c | 62.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Under | 52c | 48.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 47c | 42.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 44c | 42.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 45c | 41.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 40c | 39.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 61c | 37.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Under | 54c | 36.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 47c | 31.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…425bbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 46c | 24.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CA Platense won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)CA Platense won
- Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.