South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf08ff8a207917d8a8f9501519fe76a7892b0ac90034a636d7902f16b4d7d0e6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 26c | 7,605$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,648.84 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 4,369$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 676.1$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Yes | 31c | 508.68$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 439.63$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 436.73$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.43 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 69c | 330.79$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 73c | 247$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.13 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 73c | 193.86$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.42 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 73c | 179.9$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 41c | 149$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 59c | 144$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 71c | 126.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 41c | 107.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 62.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 65c | 43.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 38.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 49c | 37.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 38c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed No | 74c | 27.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 52c | 24.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +212.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 70c | 22.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 75c | 22.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 68c | 16.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CA Platense won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)CA Platense won
- Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.