South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5296f1639b49997fd0967aaff17f27855269b08bb17da5669ca8e2153c987ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Platenseof CA Boca Juniors, CA Platense
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed CA Boca Juniors | 22c | 8,832$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.78 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Platense | 78c | 7,595$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CA Boca Juniors | 23c | 5,580$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.63 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CA Platense | 76c | 4,027$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.1 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed CA Platense | 76c | 1,887$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.9 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed CA Platense | 79c | 195.29$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed CA Platense | 79c | 189.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed CA Platense | 79c | 85.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CA Platense | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed CA Platense | 75c | 61.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed CA Platense | 76c | 32.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked CA Platense | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed CA Platense | 78c | 32.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed CA Platense | 80c | 24.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…8cd9backed CA Platense | 74c | 21.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed CA Platense | 80c | 18.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed CA Platense | 80c | 12.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)this page
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)CA Platense won
- Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.