MLB · resolved market
Will Harrogate Town AFC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8648891c53e2f0e3f5cd0c278d75cc4a30bd4689b0747bdc52bb7ed95f481c76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 48c | 3,612$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.76 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 55c | 2,301$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.04 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 1,645$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.11 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 707$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.29 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 48c | 593.51$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.98 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Yes | 36c | 560$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 52c | 435.42$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 47c | 386$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.3 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 273.61$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Yes | 37c | 202.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 181$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.83 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 119.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 43c | 49.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 44c | 48.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 60c | 36.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes | 49c | 26.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 64c | 16.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Harrogate Town AFC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Barrow AFC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.