Other European Leagues · resolved market
IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf88761081a42fb5cc1956b309c44563f5f8dac7e5a1e4de31dee7b48d016bdd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 76c | 3,953$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.13 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 3,055$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.05 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 17c | 2,507$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.21 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 1,720$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.65 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Over | 47c | 1,677$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…035dbacked Over | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 25c | 574.27$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.77 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 41c | 551.25$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 530.2$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 491.72$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.95 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 59c | 239.95$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 12c | 159$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Over | 42c | 119.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 47c | 103.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 53c | 81.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb18…6f32backed Over | 45c | 53.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 64c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 45.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Over | 60c | 41.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 39.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 75c | 32.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 78c | 22.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…2ccdbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…cf9ebacked Over | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5this page
- IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 0.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 2.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 3.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-1.5)IFK Goteborg won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-1.5)IF Elfsborg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.