Other European Leagues · resolved market
IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8c530f118b5a8d9526a4de24f39445579de763618c226a6cd55ba6a09a65503
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed Over | 53c | 12,149$6,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,438.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 6,567$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.97 | 914 | 44.5%407 W · 507 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 47c | 5,169$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.53 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 1,775$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.24 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ad…b017backed Over | 41c | 1,410$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 55c | 1,174$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 47c | 888.09$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.69 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 53c | 870$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 22c | 462.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 2,068 | 36.7%758 W · 1,310 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 47c | 406.47$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 350.04$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.71 | 2,696 | 35.6%961 W · 1,735 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 64c | 314$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 2,080 | 35.3%735 W · 1,345 L | -27.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 8c | 311.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 7c | 299.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 731 | 33.8%247 W · 484 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 222.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 781 | 39.8%311 W · 470 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 45c | 188.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 18c | 137$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 456 | 21.5%98 W · 358 L | -52.2wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 53c | 83.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 2,588 | 52.1%1,348 W · 1,240 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 45c | 56.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 182 | 29.1%53 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…172abacked Over | 54c | 49.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 46c | 43.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Under | 47c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…ccbabacked Over | 48c | 30.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 73c | 30.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 372 | 63.2%235 W · 137 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…842ebacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 28.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1,471 | 37.8%556 W · 915 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 47c | 28.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 28.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 933 | 48.2%450 W · 483 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 2.5this page
- IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 0.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5Over won
- IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 3.5Under won
- IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-1.5)IFK Goteborg won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-1.5)IF Elfsborg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.