Other European Leagues · resolved market
St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cc8930a1c8f23a3f592d3c8811565308dbc7b65fb9e1225be94aaa40e35a7fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed Over | 52c | 93,437$48,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,741.63 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 48c | 18,712$8,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,981.92 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 15,000$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,150 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 48c | 11,806$5,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,666.66 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 11,743$5,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,633.97 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…a997backed Under | 48c | 8,240$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 5,221$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.43 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 4,341$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 47c | 3,991$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.6 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 48c | 3,444$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,315$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.99 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 54c | 2,293$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.62 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 1,624$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.18 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Under | 48c | 1,515$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 47c | 1,403$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.41 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 1,388$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.15 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 822$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.7 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 54c | 637.08$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.98 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 48c | 499.81$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.88 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 404$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.72 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 48c | 369$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.22 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 295.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Under | 49c | 285.45$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 51c | 280.45$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.42 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 46c | 236.03$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 48c | 205.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 48c | 201.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Under | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…ac08backed Under | 48c | 194$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 49c | 171.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 147.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 48c | 124.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 48c | 95.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 53c | 91.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 43c | 88.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 48c | 69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 48c | 65.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Under | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 48c | 35.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 49c | 30.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Under | 48c | 26.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 48c | 25.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Under | 48c | 25.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 48c | 24.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 58c | 20.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 80c | 12.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.59 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Over | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 89.4%42 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: St Johnstone FC (-1.5)Kilmarnock FC won
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.