Other European Leagues · resolved market
St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15744e846d3238b0bd2a7c1f9cc812765f13c0e0e18141c43044fbb29c57540a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 2,627$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.36 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 77c | 1,698$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 797.4$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…67aabacked Over | 25c | 732.07$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 20c | 652.7$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.16 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 74c | 554.02$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 20c | 455.45$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.36 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 36c | 329.43$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 13c | 303.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 75c | 298.73$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 80c | 258.65$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.92 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 70c | 136.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 13c | 135.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 13c | 121.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 42c | 111.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed Over | 20c | 100.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 13c | 94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 47c | 81.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 14c | 80$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 44c | 68.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 61c | 68.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 40c | 61.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 47c | 45.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 43c | 23.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: St Johnstone FC (-1.5)Kilmarnock FC won
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.