Other European Leagues · resolved market
St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4075440878b0e357a82203a7297a53946ef1f64731ab64cbc83c2807e3a95fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 35c | 1,966$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.62 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 1,413$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 35c | 686.21$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…b872backed Under | 63c | 475$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 37c | 468.81$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.9 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 64c | 464.53$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.23 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Under | 63c | 462.5$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.91 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Over | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 53c | 304.94$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 8c | 232.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 25c | 194.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 75c | 169.67$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 75c | 164.75$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 123.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 69c | 109.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 69c | 79.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4322backed Under | 42c | 24.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 55c | 22.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 66c | 21.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 66c | 21.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 63c | 20.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 66c | 19.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Over | 69c | 18.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Over | 66c | 17.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Over | 69c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Over | 69c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: St Johnstone FC (-1.5)Kilmarnock FC won
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.